$bbtitle
Apple Stock: 199.92 ( -0.59 )
RSS RSS Twitter Twitter
Search:
AppleInsider.com Archives News Bytes Reviews Anonymous Mailer Submit Story AppleInsider Forums Mac Prices Polls Advertise on AppleInsider Contact AppleInsider
Save up to $280 on new MacBook Pros and up to $165 on brand new iMacs with special coupons: Mac Pricing Guide updated Nov 20th (Find the best prices on Macs).
Friday, October 2, 2009

New Macs, iPhone expansion predicted to boost Apple revenue

By Sam Oliver

Published: 10:45 AM EST

With Apple expected to introduce new Macs at any point and the iPhone switching to a multi-carrier model in multiple countries, analysts believe the company's profits could climb even higher.

In notes to investors issued Friday by both Morgan Stanley and Kaufman Bros., analysts have raised the price target for AAPL stock and expect big things from the Cupertino, Calif., company in the coming months.

Morgan Stanley

With recent announcements that both Vodafone and Orange would soon sell the iPhone in the U.K., along with Apple's non-exclusive agreement with China Mobile, it would appear that the standard of one-carrier iPhone exclusivity is coming to a close. To that end, analyst Kathryn Huberty with Morgan Stanley believes the iPhone is now poised for significant growth in the next year.

In the latest note to investors, Huberty said that the top six iPhone markets, where 70 percent of iPhones are sold, still remain in single-carrier contracts. If Apple were to move away from that model, it could increase its market share to 10 percent on average -- up from the current 4 percent total held by Apple.

"We expect Apple to broaden iPhone carrier distribution over the next two years and believe this opportunity is under-appreciated by the investment community," Huberty said. "This total opportunity is substantial -- it adds up to an incremental 20.3 million iPhone units and $3.76 in adjusted (earnings per share), 100 percent and 41 percent of iPhone units and adjusted EPS respectively over the last 12 months."

The note predicts that Europe, China and Korea will all see near-term multi-carrier expansion, while the U.S. is viewed as a long-term opportunity.

Morgan Stanley 1


Citing the French market as a case study, the report details how Apple's handset marketshare grew 77 percent after French regulatory authorities ended Orange's iPhone exclusivity in the first quarter of 2008. After the handset went to a multi-carrier model, wireless operators were forced to compete and offer greater discounts on the hardware for consumers.

"This has important implications for demand, particularly on the service plan pricing frunt," Huberty wrote. "We know from our past survey work that service plan pricing is one of the top barriers to iPhone adoption -- 35 percent of respondents in our November 2008 Apple survey said so."

Morgan Stanley 2


Kaufman Bros.

Analyst Shaw Wu has picked up on persistent rumors and evidence that Apple will release new Macs very soon. Sources have told AppleInsider that the iMac, Mac mini, and MacBook are all due for a refresh. In addition, unusually low inventory on hardware has bolstered the belief that new hardware is imminent.

"This likely means better-than-expected demand and/or a refresh is coming," Wu said. "At this point, we are sticking with our 2.8 million Mac forecast which we believe is already at the higher-end of expectations. We have been picking up strong evidence of new iMacs with quad-core (or very high-powered dual core) and a new subnotebook form factor for some time. Perhaps we may see these in the near future or the next quarter or two."

Wu said sources have also indicated that iPod sales are strong, particularly with the new iPod nano with video camera. The $199 iPod touch is said to also be a strong seller, particularly as a gaming system.

Tack on strong sales of Snow Leopard and Wu sees Apple garnering $9.1 billion in revenue for the just-finished September quarter and $1.41 earnings per share. For the 2010 fiscal year, Kaufman has forecast $41.5 billion in revenue and $6.70 earnings per share, with a 12-month AAPL price target of $214.

Filed under : Investor, iPhone 17 Comments ] 
Story topics: iMac, Mac mini, MacBook, iPhone 3GS, Mac   Print ] [ Story Link ] 


Download Parallels 5.0 Today
RSS
RSS
RSS
Mac Poker players can play Full Tilt Poker for Mac and get 100% to $600 free with bonus code MP600, courtesy of Online Poker Mac
AppleInsider Features
Hot Forum Topics

Recent Articles
Smoking may void Applecare warranty due to "health hazard"
Inside Google's Android and Apple's iPhone OS as software markets
Apple's App Store approval process gets partially automated
TomTom to release iPod touch-specific GPS car kit
China Unicom expects 10% of 3G users on iPhone in 3 years
Steve Jobs e-mails terse response to upset Apple developer
Hack re-enables Atom processor compatibility for Mac OS X 10.6.2
Microsoft shareholders grill CEO about Apple, iPhone
Google outlines Chrome OS plans for netbooks
Sony announces iTunes competitor for music, movies, books
Apple investigates space-age fitness tracking technology
Web search statistics show Bing stagnant, Google growing
New apps said to make iPod touch more prominent in Apple stores
Piper: Apple tablet no more than $700, launch timing irrelevant
Major publisher preps for Apple tablet as delay, OLED rumors surface
AT&T faces setback in legal battle over Verizon ads [u]
TomTom app updated to support iPod touch, first-gen iPhone
Oct. estimates suggest Apple will sell 2.9M Macs this quarter
Microsoft retail store gets odd viral marketing buzz
Rumored 'Google Phone' said to be coming in 2010
Evidence suggests Apple at work on Mac OS X 10.7
iPhone approved in South Korea; China Mobile talks continue
AT&T upgrades network as wireless traffic quadruples over past year
Apple store in upscale Greenwich, Conn., to open Saturday
Needham downgrades Apple stock on technicality
Verizon rumored to embrace Palm in 2010 to combat iPhone
Apple's iPhone App Store takes off in China
Belgian heist lands thousands of stolen Apple iPhones
Verizon responds to AT&T in court: 'The truth hurts'
Apple said to release iPhone app for in-store appointments
OnLive cloud gaming service demonstrated on Apple's iPhone
Apple tablet speculation: high-end graphics, several models
Microsoft looks to combat Apple globally with Zune content
Apple met with AdMob weeks before acquisition by Google
Apple earns key legal victory against Psystar
Apple looks to hire AAA game developer for in-house iPhone team
Apple's next-gen iPhone power amp; NASA chemical sensor app
Bill Gates praises Steve Jobs for saving Apple
AT&T responds to 'false and misleading' Verizon ads
Apple unveils browser-based iTunes Preview

AppleInsider Market Place

Sell your Laptop - working or not. Free shipping.: Get an instant online quote and sell your laptop today !

Believe in Office: Save Up To 25% on Office 2004 For Mac. Visit Our Site for Details!

IBackup - SMB Online Backup: IBackup is the preferred online storage and backup service of choice for SMBs for its ease of use, security and value. Offers automated backup and restore, file selection and securiy.

Download free software - everyday updated freeware files

 
Advertisements








AppleInsider RSS Feed
AppleInsider © 1997-2008
Please review our Privacy Policy.
Written/Edited/Compiled by the AppleInsider Staff.