$bbtitle
Apple Stock: 140.02 ( -2.81 )
RSS RSS Twitter Twitter
Search:
AppleInsider.com Archives News Bytes Reviews Anonymous Mailer Submit Story AppleInsider Forums Mac Prices Polls Advertise on AppleInsider Contact AppleInsider
Save up to $280 on new MacBook Pros and up to $180 on new iMacs: Mac Pricing Guide updated July 4th (Find the best prices on Macs).
Tuesday, September 30, 2008

Big banks say Apple will weather financial storm

By Aidan Malley

Published: 08:00 PM EST

Citi and Goldman Sachs have rebutted notions that Apple is in danger due to the US economic collapse and say that strong iPhone sales, new MacBooks and continued healthy growth should keep the company successful in the long term.

Even in the face of a near 18 percent slide in Apple stock value over consumer spending worries, analysts from both Citi and Goldman Sachs on Tuesday reiterated their "buy" recommendations, each confident that Apple's fundamental operations were better than what the share decline would suggest.

Of the two, Citi researcher Robert Gardner is the most explicit in his views. Although he sees computer and iPod-related income dipping by 3 and 12 percent respectively, Gardner explains that iPhone should still fuel overall growth. Mac sales are also expected to keep rising and are predicted to hover between 10 to 20 percent growth in the long run, even if Apple's breakneck pace of roughly 40 percent doesn't continue for much longer.

In the short term, Goldman Sachs' David Bailey adds that his firm believes Apple will have shipped more than 4.26 million iPhones during the summer quarter.

Both Bailey and Gardner also see incidental factors at work in Apple's favor. Prices for individual components, such as flash memory for iPhones and iPods, are continuing to drop and should translate to wider profit margins than expected. The usual holiday sales spike plus Apple's healthy cash flow should also contribute to sustained results, the Citi expert says.

The two analysts stress the potential wildcard of a comprehensive MacBook update that may improve Apple's performance in the next few weeks. Citi cites checks within the industry which indicate that Apple may drop the price of a base MacBook to $1,000 to remain competitive, but which is also more likely to add features rather than chase after lower-cost rivals.

The same bank warns that recent economic turmoil is pushing it to reduce its forecasts for Apple's fiscal 2009, which would now see Apple sell 10.2 million Macs, 50 million iPods and 18.5 million iPhones; Goldman Sachs is less specific but warns that Apple is more vulnerable to slowing home user sales and a more conservative market. Still, Bailey at Goldman insists that much of the blow dealt to Apple on the stock market on Monday was undeserved.

"The recent sell off creates an opportunity as we think Apple will outperform our group through the end of the year," he says. "We think yesterday’s -18% decline more than captures the concerns over Mac growth in a weakening spending environment, making Apple shares attractive at current levels."

Filed under : General 18 Comments ] 
Story topics: MacBook, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs   Print ] [ Story Link ] 


(13") $1,094.00 (15") $1,579.00 (15") $2,089.00
(13") $1,394.00 (15") $1,799.00 (17") $2,249.00
See more prices in AppleInsider's Mac Price Guide
Mac Poker players can play Full Tilt Poker for Mac and get 100% to $600 free with bonus code MP600, courtesy of Online Poker Mac
AppleInsider Features
Hot Forum Topics

Recent Articles
Apple revamps MobileMe iDisk features
Countering rumor says Apple and NVIDIA "doing just fine"
Breaking: shot fired, one wounded at Virginia-based Apple Store
First iPhone 3GS jailbreaking tool available for download
iPhone 3GS marked AT&T's "best-ever sales day"
iPhone overheating problems could see aid from new patent
Apple working to fix unreleased iPhone SMS exploit
Pesky Psystar to emerge from Chapter 11 with new Mac offering
Apple looks towards fingerprint-based multi-touch controls
Apple developing "active packaging" for iPods and iPhones
Apple may drop NVIDIA chips in Macs following contract fight
Apple covering all the bases with Mac OS X 10.5.8 betas
University of Florida's PharmD program to require iPod touch
Apple's Mac shipments rebounding sharply in recent weeks
iPhone Software 3.1 to deliver new video and Voice Control features
Apple posts iPhone OS 3.1 beta, SDK with new video extensions
White iPhone 3GS units discoloring from excessive heat
Maine's expanded MacBook program the 'largest of its kind'
Mozilla releases faster, safer, smarter version of Firefox browser
Dell working on pocket-sized Internet gadget
MacBook Air firmware updated to support replacement batteries
Apple sees brief iPhone 3GS shortages; NVIDIA intros CS4 plugins
Steve Jobs returns to work at Apple
Apple, other phone makers agree on standard charger for Europe
Apple posts new Snow Leopard, 10.5.8 seeds
iPhone marketing head goes to VC firm; iTunes breaks records after Jackson death
Briefly: more affordable iMacs from Apple expected by fall
Apple's latest high-end MacBook Air slower than predecessor
Apple's profit margin on Mac minis slimmer than usual
Apple ups stake in iPhone graphics chip designer
Windows 7 priced below Vista, to allow upgrades from XP
Mossberg: New MacBook Pro has best battery life "ever tested"
Apple sued over 'false' iTunes gift card promises
Proof-of-concept ports Leopard's icon stacks to iPhone (video)
iPhone 3GS spurs 400% increase in mobile video uploads to YouTube
Tidbit: Apple naming Leopard point release after ancient gods
Upgrade fee sees few iPod touch users updating to 3.0 software
Apple exploring wireless system for quantifying the unquantifiable
Bogged down AT&T 3G to clear in months; Buffett criticizes Jobs
Apple updates Apple TV, Remote app to allow multi-touch control [u]

AppleInsider Market Place

Sell your Laptop - working or not. Free shipping.: Get an instant online quote and sell your laptop today !

Believe in Office: Save Up To 25% on Office 2004 For Mac. Visit Our Site for Details!

IBackup - SMB Online Backup: IBackup is the preferred online storage and backup service of choice for SMBs for its ease of use, security and value. Offers automated backup and restore, file selection and securiy.

Download free software - everyday updated freeware files

 
Advertisements








AppleInsider RSS Feed
AppleInsider © 1997-2008
Please review our Privacy Policy.
Written/Edited/Compiled by the AppleInsider Staff.