$bbtitle
AAPL: 89.25 ( -3.42 ) AppleInsider RSS Feed
Search:
AppleInsider.com Archives Reviews Anonymous Mailer Submit Story AppleInsider Forums Polls Advertise on AppleInsider Contact AppleInsider
Run Windows on your Mac: Download Parallels 4.0 today. Now 50% faster. Upgrades: $39.99. New licenses $79.99.
Friday, September 12, 2008

Analyst trims Apple estimates, says Air seeing decreased demand

By Katie Marsal

Published: 02:00 PM EST

American Technology Research trimmed its estimates for Mac maker Apple Inc. on Friday, saying that while the company's near term prospects look fine, future quarters may be met by muted demand, particularly for higher-end products like the MacBook Air.

"While we continue to see fairly favorable unit trends in the September quarter with back-to-school, our supply chain checks indicate low visibility in the December and March quarters, which we believe will likely impact build plans," analyst Shaw Wu advised clients in research report.

Based on those findings, Wu said he's decided to once again "err on the conservative side," as he believes tough macroeconomic conditions will lead system builders and distributors to keep their inventory levels low.

"In addition, our supply chain checks indicate a mix shift towards low-end and mid-range Macs as it appears that more affluent consumers may be feeling the effects of a tighter credit environment," he wrote. "MacBook Air sales and build plans appear more modest after more robust levels."

For fiscal 2008, the analyst now estimates Apple to earn $5.29 per share on sales of $32.8 billion, compared to his previous estimate of $5.34 on $32.9 billion. His model for fiscal 2009 now has the company earning $6.15 per share on revenue of $38.8 billion, down from $6.35 on $39.2 billion.

Those estimates factor in changes to his model for the next two quarters: For the current September quarter, Wu expects per share earnings of $1.19 on sales of $8.2 billion, down from $1.24 on $8.3 billion. Revisions to his model for the December holiday quarter have the company earning $1.90 per share on sales of $11.4 billion, down from $1.96 on $11.5 billion.

"We are leaving our Mac assumptions intact at 2.8 million for the September quarter, but lowering our average selling price [estimate] (4 percent quarterly decline vs. our previous view of 2 percent decline) and gross margin assumptions (32.5 percent vs. previous view of 33 percent)," he wrote.

That said, Wu still recommends that investors buy shares of the Cupertino-based electronics maker. He's, however, reduced his 12-month cieling on the company's share price to $205 from $220, which represents 31.5 multiple of his calendar year 2009 earnings estimate of $6.52 per share.

Shares of Apple were trading down $4.25, or 2.78 percent, to 148.40 in afternoon trading on the Nasdaq stock market.

Filed under : Investor, Current Hardware 109 Comments ] 
Story topics: Shaw Wu, MacBook Air, American Technology Research   Print ] [ Story Link ] 


Parallels 4.0
Mac Poker players can play Full Tilt Poker for Mac and get 100% to $600 free with bonus code MP600, courtesy of Online Poker Mac
AppleInsider Features
Hot Forum Topics

Recent Articles
VMWare offering 50% off Fusion 2.0 for Cyber Monday
iPhone Dev Team successfully boots Linux on iPhone
Black Friday Mac pricing matrix (find the best prices)
Apple's Black Friday Sale: $101 off some MacBooks and iMacs
Black Friday at Amazon: cameras, GPS, hard drives, and more
Black Friday: Office 2008, Parallels, Quicken, Adobe
Google testing Picasa for Mac beta
iPhone 2.2 hides video out code for third-party apps
Apple investigating graphics issues on new MacBook lines
Early deals: $250 off new MacBook Pros, $325 off Office 2008
Apple's Black Friday discounts may rise to 15%, says firm
QuickTime 7.5.7 allows SD iTunes playback over DisplayPort
Mac small business share nearly triples over the summer
Apple's unadvertised retail store price matching policy
Talks to bring The Beatles to iTunes break down
Piper Jaffray addresses 12 more 'unanswered Apple questions'
Apple lays claim to greenest notebooks ever in new ad campaign
Apple stock surges on belief MacBooks "peel away" Windows users
Apple sued over mobile Safari as email retention policy questioned
Microsoft developing NVIDIA-based mobile phone - report
LG holds iMac-suitable touchscreen; new iTunes plus hints
Best Buy cuts prices on Apple's Mac line for 4-day sale [u]
Apple, Palm taking different steps to reduce worker overhead
Dining out with iPhone: Zagat and OpenTable hit the App Store
Apple updates Final Cut Pro, Compressor, Color, and Shake
Apple releases iPhone Software v2.2
Apple releases iTunes 8.0.2 ahead of iPhone software 2.2
iPhone security posting suggests 2.2 firmware tomorrow
Apple now No. 2 in corporate smartphone market share
Review roundup: RIM's new touchscreen BlackBerry Storm
Apple authorizes MMS on the iPhone, but not for US users
Apple developing always-on iPhone status indicators
Apple releases Apple TV 2.3 with AirTunes, third-party remotes
Apple's OpenCL standard near complete in just six months
Apple in talks to offer more DRM-free tracks on iTunes [updated]
Microsoft saw Apple's anti-Vista campaign coming
Wal-Mart to begin selling iPhone post holidays - reports
Apple waiting on quad-core desktop chips from Intel
Apple may release Snow Leopard early next year
Reseller sells early MacBook Air prototype on eBay

AppleInsider Market Place

Sell your Laptop - working or not. Free shipping.: Get an instant online quote and sell your laptop today !

Believe in Office: Save Up To 25% on Office 2004 For Mac. Visit Our Site for Details!

IBackup - SMB Online Backup: IBackup is the preferred online storage and backup service of choice for SMBs for its ease of use, security and value. Offers automated backup and restore, file selection and securiy.

Download free software - everyday updated freeware files

 
Advertisements








AppleInsider RSS Feed
AppleInsider © 1997-2008
Please review our Privacy Policy.
Written/Edited/Compiled by the AppleInsider Staff.