$bbtitle
Apple Stock: 140.02 ( -2.81 )
RSS RSS Twitter Twitter
Search:
AppleInsider.com Archives News Bytes Reviews Anonymous Mailer Submit Story AppleInsider Forums Mac Prices Polls Advertise on AppleInsider Contact AppleInsider
Save up to $250 on new MacBook Pros and up to $180 on new iMacs: Mac Pricing Guide updated July 3rd (Find the best prices on Macs).
Wednesday, September 12, 2007

"iCar" unlikely to materialize for several years - report

By Katie Marsal

Published: 04:00 PM EST

A rumored partnership between Apple and Volkswagen to develop an "iCar" with iPod connectivity could benefit both companies enormously but is unlikely to yield an actual automobile for three or four years, according to market intelligence firm iSuppli Corp.

Speculation about the iCar was spurred by a recent meeting between Apple boss Steve Jobs and Martin Winterkorn, chief executive of German automaker Volkswagen. However, it's unknown whether the two actually discussed an iCar, or if it was merely a meeting regarding cross-functional leverage opportunities for each company.

Assuming the conversation did concern an iCar, each company could potentially benefit enormously from the pact, iSuppli claims. For Apple, it would present an opportunity to extend its iPod ecosystem into the automotive realm, and for Volkswagen, it would deliver an assured hot seller.

Already, rumors of an iCar have generated significant caché for Volkswagen -- a Google search of the phrase "VW + iCar" yields more than 2 million entries, iSuppli said, which begs the question of how much interest the concept would spur if it translated into an actual product introduction.

One of the major challenges to the success of a potential Apple/Volkswagen iCar collaboration would be the vastly different cultures of the two corporations.

"Although the old cliché says ‘opposites attract,' the cultural divide between Apple and Volkswagen may be too wide to bridge," said Richard Robinson, principal analyst, automotive electronics, for iSuppli. "Apple is a highly innovative and dynamic consumer electronics company that generates significant profits from living off its wits and supplying niche markets with the next big thing in music players, mobile phones and personal computers. VW, on the other hand, is from an entirely different tradition: the more conservative world of automotive, with its solid four-to five-year development cycles, tight margins and production-standard compliance requirements that would bring even the most enthusiastic designer from Cupertino to his knees."

Still, iSuppli notes in its report that Volkswagen is not unusual in its conservatism, as automakers have a generally cautious approach to design and development -- a philosophy forged in the fire of a thousand product recalls. With rising electronics, silicon and software content in vehicles, all of which can fail at any time, automakers probably are justified in maintaining their cautious stance regarding new technology offerings, according to the firm.

"[V]ehicle manufacturers are not interested in the next big thing and instead are focused on producing solid, tried and tested products that will be reliable for years," Robinson said. "While consumer-electronics warranty returns might eat into a company's profits, automotive recalls are the stuff of nightmares in a car industry that operates at the very margins of profitability."

iCar"If your iPod fails, it's your problem, and you must shell out a meager $120 to buy a new one -- which is okay because you probably wanted to get the latest model anyway," he continued. "However, if your two-year-old car's built-in infotainment system fails while driving in 20-below temperatures on an Alaskan highway, it's not your problem -- it's a problem for the company that sold you the car and it must bankroll the repairs."

Unlike consumer electronics makers such as Apple, automakers must bear the responsibility of product failures throughout a car's entire warranty period, which typically lasts three to five years. Therefore, iSuppli believes that, while it's in the consumers' interest that popular devices such as the iPod and iPhone get integrated into their cars' automotive infotainment systems, the cultural shock of a consumer-electronics company being forced to support products for up to 10 years after start of manufacturing will probably be the undoing of the idea.

"While Volkswagen would expect a car manufactured in 2007 to be perfectly serviceable 10 year later, does anyone seriously think the current iPod and iPhone ranges will be anything more than museum relics a decade from now?," Robinson added.

And if indeed Apple and Volkswagen do team on an iCar, consumers shouldn't expect to see it this year -- or even next year, according to Robinson. Based on standard automotive industry practice, even if Apple and VW press the 'Go' button today, it is highly unlikely that the first iCars would roll off the assembly line until at least 2010 or 2011, he said.

Still, there's big money to be made if and when an iCar finally materializes. Even with total automotive "infotainment segment" set to break through the $50 billion mark in 2012, the car remains a very large-- and largely untapped -- captive market. Car production is rising at a steady 3 percent rate, according to iSuppli, but the automotive infotainment market will expand much more quickly, rising at a Compound Annual Growth Rate of 8 percent from 2006 to 2013.

23 Comments ] 
  Print ] [ Story Link ] 


(13") $1,094.00 (15") $1,579.00 (15") $2,089.00
(13") $1,394.00 (15") $1,799.00 (17") $2,249.00
See more prices in AppleInsider's Mac Price Guide
Mac Poker players can play Full Tilt Poker for Mac and get 100% to $600 free with bonus code MP600, courtesy of Online Poker Mac
AppleInsider Features
Hot Forum Topics

Recent Articles
Countering rumor says Apple and NVIDIA "doing just fine"
Breaking: shot fired, one wounded at Virginia-based Apple Store
First iPhone 3GS jailbreaking tool available for download
iPhone 3GS marked AT&T's "best-ever sales day"
iPhone overheating problems could see aid from new patent
Apple working to fix unreleased iPhone SMS exploit
Pesky Psystar to emerge from Chapter 11 with new Mac offering
Apple looks towards fingerprint-based multi-touch controls
Apple developing "active packaging" for iPods and iPhones
Apple may drop NVIDIA chips in Macs following contract fight
Apple covering all the bases with Mac OS X 10.5.8 betas
University of Florida's PharmD program to require iPod touch
Apple's Mac shipments rebounding sharply in recent weeks
iPhone Software 3.1 to deliver new video and Voice Control features
Apple posts iPhone OS 3.1 beta, SDK with new video extensions
White iPhone 3GS units discoloring from excessive heat
Maine's expanded MacBook program the 'largest of its kind'
Mozilla releases faster, safer, smarter version of Firefox browser
Dell working on pocket-sized Internet gadget
MacBook Air firmware updated to support replacement batteries
Apple sees brief iPhone 3GS shortages; NVIDIA intros CS4 plugins
Steve Jobs returns to work at Apple
Apple, other phone makers agree on standard charger for Europe
Apple posts new Snow Leopard, 10.5.8 seeds
iPhone marketing head goes to VC firm; iTunes breaks records after Jackson death
Briefly: more affordable iMacs from Apple expected by fall
Apple's latest high-end MacBook Air slower than predecessor
Apple's profit margin on Mac minis slimmer than usual
Apple ups stake in iPhone graphics chip designer
Windows 7 priced below Vista, to allow upgrades from XP
Mossberg: New MacBook Pro has best battery life "ever tested"
Apple sued over 'false' iTunes gift card promises
Proof-of-concept ports Leopard's icon stacks to iPhone (video)
iPhone 3GS spurs 400% increase in mobile video uploads to YouTube
Tidbit: Apple naming Leopard point release after ancient gods
Upgrade fee sees few iPod touch users updating to 3.0 software
Apple exploring wireless system for quantifying the unquantifiable
Bogged down AT&T 3G to clear in months; Buffett criticizes Jobs
Apple updates Apple TV, Remote app to allow multi-touch control [u]
Apple undersells, over-delivers on iPhone 3GS speed - report

AppleInsider Market Place

Sell your Laptop - working or not. Free shipping.: Get an instant online quote and sell your laptop today !

Believe in Office: Save Up To 25% on Office 2004 For Mac. Visit Our Site for Details!

IBackup - SMB Online Backup: IBackup is the preferred online storage and backup service of choice for SMBs for its ease of use, security and value. Offers automated backup and restore, file selection and securiy.

Download free software - everyday updated freeware files

 
Advertisements








AppleInsider RSS Feed
AppleInsider © 1997-2008
Please review our Privacy Policy.
Written/Edited/Compiled by the AppleInsider Staff.