$bbtitle
AAPL: 165.15 ( -6.66 ) AppleInsider RSS Feed
Search:
AppleInsider.com Archives Reviews Anonymous Mailer Submit Story AppleInsider Forums Polls Advertise on AppleInsider Contact AppleInsider
Hot Topics: Moving to iPhone 3G on AT&T , International iPhone 3G Plans , iPhone 3G
Friday, July 13, 2007

UBS sees Macs helping Apple to another solid quarter

By Katie Marsal

Published: 03:00 PM EST

Apple Inc. continued to see solid demand for Macs last quarter with refreshes to both its MacBook lines leading the charge, according to Wall Street analysts at UBS.

In a note to clients Friday, Analyst Ben Reitzes and his associates said strong sales of the new notebook models should provide a slight boost to the Cupertino-based firm's fiscal third quarter earnings on July 25th, simultaneously offsetting some deceleration in iPod sales.

The analyst explained that iPod growth was more subdued during the quarter due to a combination of aging iPod product lines, some anticipation of the iPhone, and normal seasonality. He was, however, bullish on expectations for initial iPhone sales during the final two days of the quarter.

"We believe the June 29 launch of the iPhone was a big success and believe our estimate for 150,000 units sold in the first 2 days is very conservative," he wrote. "While we expect Apple to be conservative (as usual) in its outlook for [the fiscal fourth quarter], we believe the company’s new product momentum and upcoming product pipeline should support exceptional revenue momentum through fiscal 2009."

Based upon checks into Macs and his current views on component pricing, Reitzes said his estimates may prove to be too low. He's been modeling Apple to report per-share earnings of $0.71, reflecting yearly revenue growth of 19 percent to $5.21 billion, with gross margin of 32.1 percent and an operating margin of 15.1 percent.

"While less favourable in the June quarter vs. March -- we believe component prices for NAND, panels, DRAM and drives still supported gross margin upside," the analyst told clients. "Our third quarter estimate factors in iPod unit growth of 19 percent year-over-year to 9.6 million which seems to lack any upside given the lack of new products combined with normal seasonality."

On the other hand, the analyst said his Mac growth estimates of 25 percent year-over-year to 1.66 million could prove conservative, especially given the new notebooks and strong demand witnessed across the Mac product line during the K-12 education buying season in June.

For all of fiscal 2007, Reitzes is modeling the Mac maker to earn $3.55 per share, based on projected revenue growth of 23 percent to $23.7 billion, gross margin of 32.2 percent, and an operating margin of 17.0 percent. The estimates factor in projected iPod unit growth of 34 percent to 52.7 million and projected Mac growth of 27 percent to 6.7 million units.

"We believe the iPhone, its associated marketing buzz and boost to retail traffic is in the process of creating another version of the 'multiplier effect' we introduced in early 2004, which was associated with iPods," the analyst wrote. "We believe the iPhone could have a similar effect, driving sales of accessories, bolstering retail traffic, and helping drive more sales of both iPods and Macs."

Filed under : Investor 24 Comments ] 
Story topics: Ben Reitzes  [ Tell a Friend ] [ Print ] [ Story Link ] 

Mac Poker players can play Full Tilt Poker for Mac and get 100% to $600 free with bonus code MP600, courtesy of Online Poker Mac
AppleInsider Features
Hot Forum Topics

Recent Articles
iPhone 3G jailbreaking tool goes live
iPhone 3G and 2.0 affected by buggy software, sensors, wireless
Apple retail invades China this weekend (photos)
AT&T offers iPhone owners free access to 17,000 WiFi hotspots [u]
Apple hikes orders for notebook boards by 20 percent - report
iPhone 3G shortages causing major delays for AT&T, businesses
App Store downloads led by free apps; one quarter are games
Apple's gross margin may be "biggest swing factor" next week
Apple filing takes Podcasts to the next level
Future Sony HDTVs to embed support for new Amazon video service
Apple may have shipped record 2.54 million Macs in third quarter
Apple passes Acer to become third largest U.S. PC vendor
BlackBerry maker downgraded in light of blistering iPhone sales
Apple apologizes to MobileMe subscribers with free 30-day extension
Apple's iPhone 3G battery good for about 3.5 hours of browsing
iPhone 3G's final build price: just $174.33
PlayStation 3, Xbox 360 now fuller rivals to Apple TV
Apple finally sues unauthorized clone maker Psystar
Apple testing first bug fix update to iPhone Software v2.0
Intel says first quad-core mobile chips on the horizon
iPhone 3G clarifications: battery life, GPS, office apps
A look at who's making iPhone 3G purchases thus far
Apple delays iDisk File Sharing feature of new MobileMe service
Apple sells 1 million iPhone 3Gs in first weekend
iPhone App Store downloads top 10 million in first weekend
Hidden iPhone 3G firmware "fixes" yellow screens
Concerns raised about lack of Mac-to-MobileMe push sync
Every iPhone 3G chip named, illustrated in detail
Apple says yellow-tinted iPhone 3G screen deliberate
Best of the App Store: Social Networking
Apple again greenlights iPod touch 2.0 update
Apple stores faced with iPhone 3G outages, lineups at day's end
iPhone 3G's first day: hardware reviews, app plans, and unlocking
Early iPhone 3G adopters bothered by yellow-tinted screens
Server problems spoil Apple's iPhone 3G launch
Apple releases iPhone and iPod touch software 2.0 [see warning]
European retailers sell out at iPhone 3G launch
Notes from our experience activating iPhone 3G at Apple retail
High-quality photos of Apple's iPhone 3G
Piper Jaffray says iPhone 3G's real cost to users: $407

AppleInsider Market Place

Sell your Laptop - working or not. Free shipping.: Get an instant online quote and sell your laptop today !

Believe in Office: Save Up To 25% on Office 2004 For Mac. Visit Our Site for Details!

IBackup - SMB Online Backup: IBackup is the preferred online storage and backup service of choice for SMBs for its ease of use, security and value. Offers automated backup and restore, file selection and securiy.

Download free software - everyday updated freeware files

 
Advertisements







AppleInsider RSS Feed
AppleInsider © 1997-2008
Please review our Privacy Policy.
Written/Edited/Compiled by the AppleInsider Staff.