$bbtitle
Apple Stock: 199.92 ( -0.59 )
RSS RSS Twitter Twitter
Search:
AppleInsider.com Archives News Bytes Reviews Anonymous Mailer Submit Story AppleInsider Forums Mac Prices Polls Advertise on AppleInsider Contact AppleInsider
Save up to $280 on new MacBook Pros and up to $165 on brand new iMacs with special coupons: Mac Pricing Guide updated Nov 20th (Find the best prices on Macs).
Monday, March 19, 2007

Apple TV said to be worthy of overtaking both TiVo and Netflix

By Katie Marsal

Published: 10:00 AM EST

Although AppleTV has ceded the limelight to iPhone and similarly been overshadowed by the buzz preceding the launch of Leopard, it could prove to be as disruptive to legacy video purchase-and-consumption behavior as the iPod has been to traditional music business model, one Wall Street analyst says.

"We believe the potential is huge for this small device," ThinkEquity analyst Jonathan Hoopes, who maintains a bullish outlook on shares of Apple Inc., said on Monday. "Apple TV is an ideal conduit for multiple services including DVR, paid-for content, gaming, or advertising."

In a note to clients, Hoopes reiterated his Buy rating and $120 price target on shares of the Cupertino-based company, explaining that the combined value of the business opportunities presented by Apple TV could be worth $5.3 to $11.4 billion.

"In addition to sharing digital content within the home, we believe investors should understand the value of the various potential business models that Apple TV could enable," he wrote. "As a digital media content delivery vehicle positioned in users' living rooms, we think the AppleTV/iTunes combination could become as disruptive to legacy video purchase-and-consumption behavior as the iPod/iTunes combination has been to the traditional music business model."

In addition to the higher average selling prices offered by movies over music tracks, the analyst believes there is potential for Apple TV to eventually target gamers and feature TV guide-like services, presenting interesting opportunities for high-margin and recurring subscription or advertising revenue models.

Calling it a "network computer in disguise," Hoopes said AppleTV could easily see hardware and software enhancements that will allow it to do more than just stream media from the home Mac or PC.

"Apple TV can, in our opinion, be easily turned into a DVR with little or no hardware modification and a software upgrade," he wrote. "We think Apple's brand, established distribution, marketing power, over 100 million total iPod unit shipments, and 22 million active Mac users would create more than enough energy to propel an AppleTV TiVo-like service to a higher subscription base than TiVo's current 4.4 million users."

Similarly, the analyst said that Apple TV has already established itself as a direct competitor to Netflix even before the first commercial unit is connected to a TV monitor. "Whereas Netflix brought 'Blockbuster' to your mailbox, we believe AppleTV will bring Hollywood to your living room," he told clients. "Moreover, we think this device is well-positioned to quickly overtake Netflix as broadband Internet access becomes more ubiquitous and the Internet becomes the de-facto channel for content delivery."

Among the potential revenue-generating strategies said to be available to Apple under a Netflix-like model are: a movie subscription service, pay-per-view downloads, and advertising opportunities in the living room. Given time and focus for the details of such strategies to fall into place, Hoopes believes Apple TV could eventually flourish as a rental platform.

In his note to clients, the ThinkEquity analyst also spoke at length about the potential for Apple to flex its muscle in the video game market if Apple TV is able to achieve central status as a next-generation home entertainment enabler. However, he warned the company would face still competition from the likes of Sony, Microsoft and Nintendo, should it embark on such a journey.

"That said, Apple could use its AppleTV to join the gaming game given the margin-rich opportunities that reward game designers who successfully meld a solid understanding of what users want with software design skills," he wrote. "We note that Apple CEO Steve Jobs founded Pixar, a successful animation film studio. While we acknowledge that making popular cartoon movies is not the same as making video games, we do see some links in terms creativity and animation skills."

The first shipments of Apple TV are expected to begin making their way to stores sometime this week.

114 Comments ] 
  Print ] [ Story Link ] 


Download Parallels 5.0 Today
Mac Poker players can play Full Tilt Poker for Mac and get 100% to $600 free with bonus code MP600, courtesy of Online Poker Mac
AppleInsider Features
Hot Forum Topics

Recent Articles
Apple's App Store approval process gets partially automated
TomTom to release iPod touch-specific GPS car kit
China Unicom expects 10% of 3G users on iPhone in 3 years
Steve Jobs e-mails terse response to upset Apple developer
Hack re-enables Atom processor compatibility for Mac OS X 10.6.2
Microsoft shareholders grill CEO about Apple, iPhone
Google outlines Chrome OS plans for netbooks
Sony announces iTunes competitor for music, movies, books
Apple investigates space-age fitness tracking technology
Web search statistics show Bing stagnant, Google growing
New apps said to make iPod touch more prominent in Apple stores
Piper: Apple tablet no more than $700, launch timing irrelevant
Major publisher preps for Apple tablet as delay, OLED rumors surface
AT&T faces setback in legal battle over Verizon ads [u]
TomTom app updated to support iPod touch, first-gen iPhone
Oct. estimates suggest Apple will sell 2.9M Macs this quarter
Microsoft retail store gets odd viral marketing buzz
Rumored 'Google Phone' said to be coming in 2010
Evidence suggests Apple at work on Mac OS X 10.7
iPhone approved in South Korea; China Mobile talks continue
AT&T upgrades network as wireless traffic quadruples over past year
Apple store in upscale Greenwich, Conn., to open Saturday
Needham downgrades Apple stock on technicality
Verizon rumored to embrace Palm in 2010 to combat iPhone
Apple's iPhone App Store takes off in China
Belgian heist lands thousands of stolen Apple iPhones
Verizon responds to AT&T in court: 'The truth hurts'
Apple said to release iPhone app for in-store appointments
OnLive cloud gaming service demonstrated on Apple's iPhone
Apple tablet speculation: high-end graphics, several models
Microsoft looks to combat Apple globally with Zune content
Apple met with AdMob weeks before acquisition by Google
Apple earns key legal victory against Psystar
Apple looks to hire AAA game developer for in-house iPhone team
Apple's next-gen iPhone power amp; NASA chemical sensor app
Bill Gates praises Steve Jobs for saving Apple
AT&T responds to 'false and misleading' Verizon ads
Apple unveils browser-based iTunes Preview
AT&T asks court to pull Verizon's 'misleading' iPhone ads
Conflicting reports within Qualcomm suggest Verizon-only iPhone

AppleInsider Market Place

Sell your Laptop - working or not. Free shipping.: Get an instant online quote and sell your laptop today !

Believe in Office: Save Up To 25% on Office 2004 For Mac. Visit Our Site for Details!

IBackup - SMB Online Backup: IBackup is the preferred online storage and backup service of choice for SMBs for its ease of use, security and value. Offers automated backup and restore, file selection and securiy.

Download free software - everyday updated freeware files

 
Advertisements








AppleInsider RSS Feed
AppleInsider © 1997-2008
Please review our Privacy Policy.
Written/Edited/Compiled by the AppleInsider Staff.