$bbtitle
Apple Stock: 222.2499 ( -2.4001 )
RSS RSS Twitter Twitter
Search:
AppleInsider.com Archives News Bytes Reviews Anonymous Mailer Submit Story AppleInsider Forums Mac Prices Polls Advertise on AppleInsider Contact AppleInsider
Save over $250 on MacBook Pros and $150 on iMacs with special coupons: Mac Pricing Guide updated March 20th (Find the best prices on Macs).
Share
Wednesday, June 21, 2006

UBS raises Mac sales estimates

By Prince McLean

Published: 09:00 AM EST

Analysts for UBS Investment Research on Wednesday increased their forecast for Mac unit sales during Apple Computer's third fiscal quarter after checks showed solid education buying and increasing interest in the company's MacBook notebook line.

"Given indications of solid demand for new Macs, prospects for new products next quarter and an increasing shift of consumer interest to Macs, we are raising our Mac estimates," analyst Ben Reitzes told clients in a research note.

Reitzes now expects Apple to sell 1.32 million Macs during its third (June) quarter, up from 1.24 million units -- representing unit growth of approximately 12 percent yearly or 19 percent quarter-to-quarter. The analyst also increased his fiscal year 2006 and 2007 total Mac unit sales estimates to 5.1 million and 6.7 million units, up from 5 million and 6.3 million units, respectively.

"Our colleagues in Asia who attended the recent Computex trade show in Taiwan indicated that discussion with vendors showed Apple continues to stand out with strong PC orders in China and Taiwan, despite the overall weakness in PC orders," Reitzes wrote. "Notebook casing maker Jutang also confirmed the MacBook is ramping up volume currently [and Jutang is] on track to ship 500K units in 1H06 (starting May), and a total of 1 million units in 2006, accounting for only a portion of total sales."

On the flip side, Reitzes said his checks continue to show that the overall digital music player market is decelerating a bit from year-end, with subdued demand for iPods coupled with "plenty of inventory" from several vendors.

"We believe our checks back weaker than expected sales for iPods in Apple’s recently reported fiscal 2Q and lower production figures from industry sources," he wrote. "These views from our 'Retail Rumblings' reports have also been supported by recent NPD data which shows US iPod sales tracking slightly below our expectations."

As a result, Reitzes cut his iPod unit shipment forecast for Apple's third fiscal quarter to 7.83 million units, down from 8.35 million units -- representing 27 percent yearly growth or an 8 percent decline quarter-to-quarter. "Due to declining average selling prices (ASPs) as a result of a full quarter of shuffle price reductions and the 1GB nano, combined with our lower 3Q unit forecast, we are now forecasting iPod revenue growth of 35 percent year-over-year to $1.5 billion (was $1.6 billion)," he wrote.

The analyst now expects iPod unit sales to total 39.8 million in fiscal 2006 (reflecting yearly growth of 77 percent), driven by solid demand for new iPods during Apple's fourth fiscal quarter and strong back to school sales. In 2007, Reitzes sees iPod growth slowing to 29 percent year-over-year to 51.4 million units.

UBS continues to expect new Intel Power Macs in August, new iPods next quarter and an iPhone somewhere down the line. The firm maintains a "Buy" rating on Apple shares with a price target of $90.

Filed under : Investor 18 Comments ] 
Story topics: Ben Reitzes   Print ] [ Story Link ] 



Mac Poker players can play Full Tilt Poker for Mac and get 100% to $600 free with bonus code MP600, courtesy of Online Poker Mac
AppleInsider Features
Hot Forum Topics

Recent Articles
Sprint features Apple iPhone in 4G Wi-Fi hotspot advertisement
Steve Jobs teams with Calif. governor to push organ donor registry
Apple begins accepting iPad apps on the App Store
Briefly: Intel short on supply of MacBook Pro-bound processors
China Mobile knocks on Apple's door, seeks preferential treatment
Apple tables push for TV subscriptions on iPad, seeks 99 cent episodes
Apple's iPad secrecy leaves many developers handicapped
Release of Apple's Mac OS X 10.6.3 Update appears imminent
Apple has pre-sold "hundreds of thousands" of iPads
Apple preps 27-inch LED Cinema Display, dodeca-core Mac Pro
Apple director Jerome York passes away
Fascinating motion magazine demo highlights iPad's potential
Confident HTC says no plans to back down from Apple lawsuit
Amazon releases free beta of Kindle for Mac eBook reading software
Apple exploring iPhone audio text message, walkie-talkie feature
Apple director Jerry York in critical condition following collapse
iPhone devs can now automate app release dates, price changes
Apple to ban film-based screen protectors from company stores
Apple adds sharing features, iPad interface tweaks to iWork.com beta
Apple's iMac to account for 25% of global desktop growth in 2010
iPad prompts changes to way magazines count circulation
Apple asks developers to test fonts in latest Mac OS X 10.6.3 beta
NPR, WSJ plan Flash-free Web sites for Apple iPad
'Fake Steve Jobs,' 'Seinfeld' scribe team for Silicon Valley comedy
Apple delays iPad keyboard dock, power adapter until May
First-gen iPhone, Droid sold 8 times better than Nexus One debut
39% of BlackBerry owners say they'd switch to an iPhone
High prices make Apple reluctant to strike longterm NAND flash deals
Apple-Google battle heats up with key hires on both sides
February Mac sales up 43%, Apple on track for 2.9M in quarter
Apple's Steve Jobs gets OK to raze dilapidated mansion
Startup developers represent one in five on Apple's App Store
Microsoft exec says Apple's HTC suit 'is not necessarily a bad thing'
Preorders for Apple iPad slow after 120K first-day rush
NYT: Steve Jobs feels Google betrayed Apple by mimicking iPhone
Apple to replace iPads in need of new battery for $99
Former P.A. Semi chief leaves Apple for chip startup - report
Roughly 10% of Microsoft employees said to be iPhone owners
Apple COO Tim Cook awarded $22 million bonus
iPad: 50,000 sales in 2 hours, Apple TV bumped, mysterious app icon

 
Advertisements








AppleInsider RSS Feed
AppleInsider © 1997-2008
Please review our Privacy Policy.
Written/Edited/Compiled by the AppleInsider Staff.